Risk assessment models in acute coronary syndromes and their applicability in Singapore

Risk prediction models are critical in managing patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) as they identify high-risk patients who benefit the most from targeted care. We discuss the process of developing and validating a risk prediction model as well as highlight the more commonly used models in clinical practice currently. Finally we conclude by outlining the importance of creating a risk prediction model based on a Singapore population of ACS patients so as to further improve patient, hospital and research outcomes.

Improving door-to-balloon times in primary percutaneous coronary intervention for acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction: the value of an audit-driven quality initiative

<p><b>INTRODUCTION</b>The study was designed to reduce door-to-balloon times in primary percutaneous coronary intervention for patients presenting to the Emergency Department with acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction, using an audit as a quality initiative.</p><p><b>MATERIALS AND METHODS</b>A multidisciplinary work group performed a pilot study over 3 months, then implemented various process and work-flow strategies to improve overall door-to-balloon times.</p><p><b>RESULTS AND CONCLUSION</b>We developed a guideline-based, institution-specific written protocol for triaging and managing patients who present to the Emergency Department with symptoms suggestive of STEMI, resulting in shortened median door-to-balloon times from 130.5 to 109.5 minutes (P<0.001).</p>

Pattern and outcome of subsidised referrals to cardiology specialist outpatient clinics

<p><b>INTRODUCTION</b>Increasing demand for public healthcare and access to specialist care has become a major concern. Characterising the referral pattern to a national centre's cardiology specialist outpatient clinics (SOCs) and the diagnostic outcomes may be useful in formulating referral guidelines to contain rising demand.</p><p><b>MATERIALS AND METHODS</b>A prospective observational followup study was conducted of all consecutive new patient referrals to the cardiology SOCs of the National Heart Centre over a 1-month period. The records of these 1224 patients were reviewed following their first visit and again after 3 months of evaluation and investigation. Patients' demographics, referral sources, indications of referral, risk factors, provisional and final diagnoses were collected. Referrals from the top 2 volume sources (government polyclinics and hospital Emergency Department) accounted for 600 referrals. These subsidised referrals formed the study group for analysis.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>The mean age of referred patients was 56 +/- 15.2 years, with equal proportion of males and females. Most patients had known cardiac risk factors of hypertension (53.2%) and hyperlipidaemia (42.3%). Only 23% of referrals had significant cardiac abnormalities. Referrals for typical chest pain derived the highest yield whereas referrals for atypical chest pain, non-cardiac chest pain derived the lowest yield. Referrals for asymptomatic electrocardiogram (ECG) changes (except for atrial flutter/fibrillation) did not yield cardiac abnormalities. Multivariate analysis of chest pain referrals showed typical chest pain and hyperlipidaemia to be statistically significant predictors for coronary artery disease.</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>Referrals to cardiology outpatient specialist clinics should be based on the presence of patient symptoms, particularly that of typical chest pain. In asymptomatic patients, routine ECG screening did not appear to yield significant cardiac abnormalities.</p>

Improving access to outpatient cardiac care at the national heart centre--a partnership between specialists and primary care

Ensuring timely access to specialist care is an important indicator of the quality of a health service. Demand for cardiology outpatient appointments has grown considerably in the last decade, leading to increased waiting time for cardiology appointments at public hospitals. This paper examines the effectiveness of past and ongoing strategies initiated by the National Heart Centre, many of which were in collaboration with SingHealth Polyclinics, documents the lessons learnt, and provides a framework for approaching this problem. Instead of a simplistic approach where institutions react to long waiting times by growing capacity to meet demand, this paper emphasises the need to focus on the final intended outcome (timely diagnosis and treatment) rather than on a single performance indicator, such as waiting time. A broad systems approach at the national level is advocated, rather than piecemeal, uncoordinated actions by individual hospitals.

Trends in mortality from acute myocardial infarction in the coronary care unit

<p><b>INTRODUCTION</b>The treatment and outcome of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has evolved greatly over the past few decades. We compared the mortality and complication rates of patients with AMI admitted to the Coronary Care Unit (CCU) in 2002 to previously reported data.</p><p><b>MATERIALS AND METHODS</b>All data for AMI patients admitted to National Heart Centre CCU in 2002 were collected through the Singapore Cardiac Data Bank, including demographics, in hospital complications and mortality. These were compared to previous reports from the same institution in 1988, 1975 and 1967.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>A total of 516 cases with AMI were identified. A higher proportion of patients were aged >or=70 years in 2002 (31.8%) compared to 1988 (25%), 1975 (11%) and 1967 (5.6%). Acute percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) was performed in 250 of 516 (48%) patients in 2002. The overall in-patient and age-standardised mortality was 14.7% and 10% respectively, compared to 20.6% and 17% respectively in 1988 (P = 0.06). For the 250 patients who underwent acute PTCA, overall mortality was 5.2% compared to 24% in those who did not (P <0.001). Common in-hospital complications included heart failure (38%), non-sustained ventricular tachycardia (8%), atrial fibrillation (8%) and complete heart block (6%). Age, heart failure, bundle branch block and sustained ventricular tachycardia were associated with higher mortality by univariate analysis. On multivariate analysis, older age, heart failure and the absence of percutaneous intervention were independently associated with higher mortality.</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>In-hospital mortality for AMI patients admitted to the CCU declined from 1988 to 2002 despite a higher proportion of elderly patients. The introduction of new therapies including drugs and percutaneous intervention may have contributed to this decline.</p>